exmort is an R package that launches the All-Cause and Excess Mortality Calculator. It helps you compare recorded deaths with an estimated baseline, inspect differences across models, and prepare tables, plots and reports.
The calculator accepts weekly or monthly death counts in Excel workbooks. It includes example data for Australia, Japan, the Republic of Korea, New Zealand and the Philippines. Start with an example before preparing your own data.
Install the released package from CRAN:
Or install the development version from GitHub:
Run this in the RStudio console:
The app opens in your browser. R does the calculations on your computer. The documentation website can be read without R; using the calculator requires a running R session. The website does not host the Shiny application.
While the app runs, the R console is busy. Use RStudio’s Stop button or press Escape in the console to stop it. Closing a browser tab may leave R running.
If you want to open the browser yourself or choose a port:
Then open http://127.0.0.1:3838 on the same computer. If
that port is already in use, choose another port.
Open Data → Upload Data. Under Open a data set, select Built-in example data. Choose a country, then select a mortality sheet and an event sheet. Click Merge Built-in Data.
The example workbooks are historical training inputs. Their event dates and observation periods need review before you use them for a new analysis.
Open Data → View Data and inspect the processed mortality table, event calendar and merged table. Check the area, age group, sex, year, period and death counts. Use Data Summary to check the time coverage and totals.
The app attaches an event_index to each period. A value
of 0 means that the period is outside the supplied events.
The current models use these non-event rows as their
baseline. This can include data after an event ends. Control
the input time range and calendar deliberately; there is no separate
baseline-date selector in this version.
Open Model. Select one age group and one sex category for your first run. Keep Historical Average and Negative Binomial Regression selected, then click Run Model. These are the default model choices.
Check the run messages. A selected model may fail or produce no result when the series is too short or the baseline has insufficient observations. Review the data and event definition before adding more models.
| Tab | What to examine |
|---|---|
| Tables | Observed deaths, expected deaths, excess deaths and P-scores for the selected groups and periods |
| Best Fit | Available AIC values, subject to the comparability limits explained on that page |
| Plots | Expected and observed trajectories, event patterns and summaries |
| Report | Filters, sections, preview and downloadable report |
| Methods | Definitions and the methodology material shipped with the app |
| Help and Resources | In-app help and links to the calculator’s wider resources |
Read Choosing models and interpreting excess mortality before choosing a preferred estimate. Lower AIC alone does not establish that a model gives the most credible counterfactual.
Use the download buttons to save processed data and result tables. On Report, select the relevant groups, models, events and sections. Start with HTML, click Generate Report, review the preview, then click Download Report.
Keep the input workbook, event calendar, selected models, package version, date of analysis and exported results together. These make a rerun possible.
On Data, choose a template and click Download template. Keep its header layout, replace the counts and event dates, and upload the workbook. Select the mortality and event sheets, then click Merge Mortality/Events Data. Use Preparing mortality data and event calendars for the workbook layout and checks.
The package also contains the templates locally:
All report formats need Pandoc. RStudio includes Pandoc; if R cannot
find it, check rmarkdown::pandoc_available() in your
RStudio session.
| Format | Additional requirement |
|---|---|
| HTML | No LaTeX installation |
| Word (.docx) | The officedown package |
| A LaTeX installation, such as TinyTeX |
Install the extra tools only for the formats you plan to use. HTML is a useful first check when a Word or PDF download fails.
| Symptom | First check |
|---|---|
| App does not open | Confirm installation, inspect the R console, and try an unused port |
| Upload validation fails | Check the template layout, selected sheets, dates and numeric counts |
| No model results | Check group selection, non-event baseline coverage and the run messages |
| Report generation fails | Try HTML first; then check Pandoc and the chosen format’s extra tools |
Report reproducible problems at the exmort issue tracker. Include the package version and error message, with a small non-sensitive example when the problem depends on an input workbook.